Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.001615 0.001747 0.001887 0.002049 0.002230 0.002428 0.002662
2025-11-16 0.001448 0.001646 0.001873 0.002154 0.002498 0.002909 0.003445
2025-11-23 0.001333 0.001572 0.001860 0.002239 0.002735 0.003374 0.004286
2025-11-30 0.001220 0.001478 0.001801 0.002247 0.002863 0.003708 0.005010
2025-12-07 0.001109 0.001371 0.001709 0.002193 0.002889 0.003895 0.005551
2025-12-14 0.001027 0.001291 0.001642 0.002159 0.002933 0.004107 0.006161
2025-12-21 0.000950 0.001211 0.001566 0.002102 0.002930 0.004240 0.006662
2025-12-28 0.000855 0.001101 0.001438 0.001955 0.002771 0.004097 0.006642
2026-01-04 0.000792 0.001028 0.001358 0.001873 0.002705 0.004096 0.006881
2026-01-11 0.000751 0.000985 0.001317 0.001845 0.002720 0.004235 0.007420
2026-01-18 0.000718 0.000952 0.001287 0.001833 0.002760 0.004420 0.008095
2026-01-25 0.000762 0.001031 0.001431 0.002110 0.003332 0.005703 0.011646
2026-02-01 0.000736 0.001010 0.001424 0.002145 0.003492 0.006245 0.013760
2026-02-08 0.000700 0.000970 0.001386 0.002127 0.003553 0.006606 0.015613
2026-02-15 0.000681 0.000956 0.001388 0.002179 0.003761 0.007353 0.019128
2026-02-22 0.000654 0.000927 0.001364 0.002179 0.003864 0.007881 0.022317
2026-03-01 0.000620 0.000885 0.001313 0.002125 0.003842 0.008085 0.024449
2026-03-08 0.000592 0.000851 0.001275 0.002093 0.003863 0.008413 0.027417
2026-03-15 0.000563 0.000814 0.001228 0.002037 0.003825 0.008566 0.029751
2026-03-22 0.000522 0.000755 0.001141 0.001897 0.003571 0.008038 0.028245
2026-03-29 0.000493 0.000716 0.001087 0.001818 0.003458 0.007915 0.028939
2026-04-05 0.000475 0.000693 0.001060 0.001791 0.003463 0.008160 0.031991
2026-04-12 0.000460 0.000676 0.001041 0.001779 0.003505 0.008532 0.036323